There are no limits. Or they haven’t been glimpsed yet, anyway, regarding the global AI impact—given more computational power, data, and real-world resources.
As Microsoft Web Services and Advertising CEO (and ML expert) Mikhail Parakhin wrote on Twitter/X regarding the arrival of AI’s next step:
“…this is the race of locomotives. You saw one arrive at the station and leave, then, much later, many more arrived and left. The fact that the first one hasn’t reached the next station yet doesn’t mean that they are all standing still.”
Former member of OpenAI’s Superalignment team and founder of an AGI-driven investment firm Leopold Aschenbrenner goes much further. In a paper titled Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead, he makes the following, provocative predictions:
- We’ve shot past our benchmarks to even measure AI’s innovation impact, and nearly every bet against it has been wrong.
- We could have AGI by 2027, and AI superintelligence will follow (possibly by 2030).